Correlation & cluster analysis
Pearson correlation of daily log returns over the last 60 sessions; average-linkage hierarchical clustering on distance 1−ρ, cut where average intra-cluster ρ ≥ 0.5. The effective number of independent bets (participation ratio N² / Σρ²) tells you how many genuinely different positions a list really contains.
Universe names
156
with 60 clean daily returns
Avg pairwise ρ
0.112
60-day window
Effective bets (universe)
11.0
out of 156 names
Clusters (avg ρ ≥ 0.5)
28
groups of 2+ names
Today's buckets: how many independent bets?
| Bucket | Names | Effective bets | Correlation clusters inside the bucket |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long momentum | 3 | 2.9 | |
| Short momentum | 1 | 1.0 | |
| Mean reversion | 0 | — |
Sector correlation heatmap (average pairwise ρ)
| Semis | Software | Internet | Hardware | Consumer | Consumer | Financia | Healthca | Energy | Industri | Material | Telecom | Crypto/H | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Semis | 0.66 | 0.15 | -0.03 | 0.41 | -0.05 | -0.33 | 0.15 | -0.06 | 0.03 | 0.21 | 0.06 | -0.27 | 0.35 |
| Software | 0.15 | 0.33 | 0.15 | 0.14 | 0.08 | -0.07 | 0.15 | 0.05 | -0.04 | 0.03 | -0.03 | -0.15 | 0.16 |
| Internet/Media | -0.03 | 0.15 | 0.35 | 0.03 | 0.27 | 0.20 | 0.28 | 0.18 | -0.17 | 0.03 | 0.08 | 0.16 | 0.21 |
| Hardware | 0.41 | 0.14 | 0.03 | 0.27 | 0.02 | -0.16 | 0.16 | -0.01 | 0.04 | 0.14 | 0.03 | -0.15 | 0.21 |
| Consumer Disc. | -0.05 | 0.08 | 0.27 | 0.02 | 0.33 | 0.31 | 0.29 | 0.20 | -0.17 | 0.09 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.15 |
| Consumer Staples | -0.33 | -0.07 | 0.20 | -0.16 | 0.31 | 0.53 | 0.17 | 0.25 | -0.06 | 0.04 | 0.13 | 0.35 | -0.09 |
| Financials | 0.15 | 0.15 | 0.28 | 0.16 | 0.29 | 0.17 | 0.43 | 0.20 | -0.13 | 0.16 | 0.14 | 0.05 | 0.26 |
| Healthcare | -0.06 | 0.05 | 0.18 | -0.01 | 0.20 | 0.25 | 0.20 | 0.35 | -0.09 | 0.02 | 0.08 | 0.07 | 0.10 |
| Energy | 0.03 | -0.04 | -0.17 | 0.04 | -0.17 | -0.06 | -0.13 | -0.09 | 0.64 | 0.02 | -0.05 | 0.01 | -0.18 |
| Industrials | 0.21 | 0.03 | 0.03 | 0.14 | 0.09 | 0.04 | 0.16 | 0.02 | 0.02 | 0.14 | 0.08 | -0.03 | 0.11 |
| Materials/Utilities | 0.06 | -0.03 | 0.08 | 0.03 | 0.13 | 0.13 | 0.14 | 0.08 | -0.05 | 0.08 | 0.12 | 0.00 | 0.13 |
| Telecom | -0.27 | -0.15 | 0.16 | -0.15 | 0.19 | 0.35 | 0.05 | 0.07 | 0.01 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.81 | -0.08 |
| Crypto/High-beta | 0.35 | 0.16 | 0.21 | 0.21 | 0.15 | -0.09 | 0.26 | 0.10 | -0.18 | 0.11 | 0.13 | -0.08 | 0.38 |
Full correlation matrix (cluster-ordered)
Names are ordered by the clustering dendrogram, so red blocks on the diagonal are clusters of stocks that trade together.
Clusters
| # | Size | Avg ρ | Members | Sectors |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 0.64 | ORCL, ANET, CSCO, WDC, STX, SMCI, DELL, ON, MCHP, TXN, ADI, NVDA, AVGO, MU, MRVL, ARM, ASML, KLAC, AMAT, LRCX, AMD, TSM, CAT, VRT, GEV, ETN | Software 1, Hardware 6, Semis 16, Industrials 3 |
| 2 | 11 | 0.61 | CMCSA, TGT, NKE, MCD, HD, LOW, KHC, KO, PG, PEP, MDLZ | Internet/Media 1, Consumer Staples 6, Consumer Disc. 4 |
| 3 | 11 | 0.59 | BAC, C, GS, MS, BLK, JPM, WFC, KKR, BX, AXP, COF | Financials 11 |
| 4 | 9 | 0.63 | NVO, JNJ, ABBV, AMGN, LLY, GILD, VRTX, PFE, BMY | Healthcare 9 |
| 5 | 8 | 0.76 | MPC, PSX, XOM, CVX, DVN, OXY, COP, EOG | Energy 8 |
| 6 | 8 | 0.60 | NFLX, SPOT, DASH, V, MA, DIS, UBER, BKNG | Internet/Media 5, Financials 2, Consumer Disc. 1 |
| 7 | 7 | 0.69 | ZS, PANW, CRWD, PLTR, SNOW, DDOG, NET | Software 7 |
| 8 | 5 | 0.71 | MARA, RIOT, HOOD, MSTR, COIN | Crypto/High-beta 2, Financials 2, Software 1 |
| 9 | 4 | 0.62 | TTD, WDAY, ADBE, INTU | Internet/Media 1, Software 3 |
| 10 | 3 | 0.63 | HIMS, SOFI, AFRM | Healthcare 1, Financials 1, Crypto/High-beta 1 |
| 11 | 3 | 0.60 | RBLX, QCOM, INTC | Internet/Media 1, Semis 2 |
| 12 | 3 | 0.81 | VZ, T, TMUS | Telecom 3 |
| 13 | 3 | 0.81 | NEE, DUK, SO | Materials/Utilities 3 |
| 14 | 3 | 0.58 | BRK-B, WMT, COST | Financials 1, Consumer Staples 2 |
| 15 | 2 | 0.84 | CEG, VST | Materials/Utilities 2 |
| 16 | 2 | 0.53 | TSLA, FCX | Consumer Disc. 1, Materials/Utilities 1 |
| 17 | 2 | 0.74 | RTX, LMT | Industrials 2 |
| 18 | 2 | 0.79 | SLB, HAL | Energy 2 |
| 19 | 2 | 0.65 | CRM, TEAM | Software 2 |
| 20 | 2 | 0.67 | NOW, GOOGL | Software 1, Internet/Media 1 |
| 21 | 2 | 0.58 | MSFT, AMZN | Software 1, Consumer Disc. 1 |
| 22 | 2 | 0.60 | PINS, SNAP | Internet/Media 2 |
| 23 | 2 | 0.76 | MRK, MRNA | Healthcare 2 |
| 24 | 2 | 0.58 | UPS, UNP | Industrials 2 |
| 25 | 2 | 0.56 | ABT, ISRG | Healthcare 2 |
| 26 | 2 | 0.69 | PM, MO | Consumer Staples 2 |
| 27 | 2 | 0.66 | GM, F | Consumer Disc. 2 |
| 28 | 2 | 0.52 | GE, HON | Industrials 2 |
Most correlated pairs
V–MA 0.95WDC–STX 0.95HD–LOW 0.95COP–EOG 0.94AMAT–LRCX 0.94XOM–CVX 0.93LRCX–KLAC 0.93PANW–CRWD 0.92AMAT–KLAC 0.92MPC–PSX 0.92GS–MS 0.92TXN–ADI 0.91OXY–EOG 0.91COP–OXY 0.91KLAC–ASML 0.90XOM–COP 0.89MSTR–COIN 0.89OXY–DVN 0.89EOG–DVN 0.88CVX–COP 0.88LRCX–ASML 0.88AMAT–ASML 0.88DUK–SO 0.88COP–DVN 0.88GEV–ETN 0.87