TRAI quant day-trading research

Correlation & cluster analysis

Pearson correlation of daily log returns over the last 60 sessions; average-linkage hierarchical clustering on distance 1−ρ, cut where average intra-cluster ρ ≥ 0.5. The effective number of independent bets (participation ratio N² / Σρ²) tells you how many genuinely different positions a list really contains.

Computed: Nov 6, 2026, 5:34 PM ET · Data through: 2026-11-06
Source: Yahoo Finance public chart API, daily bars (1y).

Universe names
156
with 60 clean daily returns
Avg pairwise ρ
0.112
60-day window
Effective bets (universe)
11.0
out of 156 names
Clusters (avg ρ ≥ 0.5)
28
groups of 2+ names

Today's buckets: how many independent bets?

BucketNamesEffective betsCorrelation clusters inside the bucket
Long momentum32.9
Short momentum11.0
Mean reversion0—

From run 2026-11-06_postclose_2026-11-06T21-49-57-619Z. If 6 picks have 2.5 effective bets, size them like ~2–3 positions, not 6.

Rolling 60-day average pairwise correlation (higher = market moving as one; macro-driven tape)
0.050.070.090.100.122026-05-192026-07-172026-09-142026-11-06
Rolling effective number of independent bets across the whole universe
11121314162026-05-192026-07-172026-09-142026-11-06

Sector correlation heatmap (average pairwise ρ)

SemisSoftwareInternetHardwareConsumerConsumerFinanciaHealthcaEnergyIndustriMaterialTelecomCrypto/H
Semis0.660.15-0.030.41-0.05-0.330.15-0.060.030.210.06-0.270.35
Software0.150.330.150.140.08-0.070.150.05-0.040.03-0.03-0.150.16
Internet/Media-0.030.150.350.030.270.200.280.18-0.170.030.080.160.21
Hardware0.410.140.030.270.02-0.160.16-0.010.040.140.03-0.150.21
Consumer Disc.-0.050.080.270.020.330.310.290.20-0.170.090.130.190.15
Consumer Staples-0.33-0.070.20-0.160.310.530.170.25-0.060.040.130.35-0.09
Financials0.150.150.280.160.290.170.430.20-0.130.160.140.050.26
Healthcare-0.060.050.18-0.010.200.250.200.35-0.090.020.080.070.10
Energy0.03-0.04-0.170.04-0.17-0.06-0.13-0.090.640.02-0.050.01-0.18
Industrials0.210.030.030.140.090.040.160.020.020.140.08-0.030.11
Materials/Utilities0.06-0.030.080.030.130.130.140.08-0.050.080.120.000.13
Telecom-0.27-0.150.16-0.150.190.350.050.070.01-0.030.000.81-0.08
Crypto/High-beta0.350.160.210.210.15-0.090.260.10-0.180.110.13-0.080.38

Full correlation matrix (cluster-ordered)

Names are ordered by the clustering dendrogram, so red blocks on the diagonal are clusters of stocks that trade together.

Hover (or tap) a cell to read the pair and its 60-day correlation. Red = positive, blue = negative.

Clusters

#SizeAvg ρMembersSectors
1260.64ORCL, ANET, CSCO, WDC, STX, SMCI, DELL, ON, MCHP, TXN, ADI, NVDA, AVGO, MU, MRVL, ARM, ASML, KLAC, AMAT, LRCX, AMD, TSM, CAT, VRT, GEV, ETNSoftware 1, Hardware 6, Semis 16, Industrials 3
2110.61CMCSA, TGT, NKE, MCD, HD, LOW, KHC, KO, PG, PEP, MDLZInternet/Media 1, Consumer Staples 6, Consumer Disc. 4
3110.59BAC, C, GS, MS, BLK, JPM, WFC, KKR, BX, AXP, COFFinancials 11
490.63NVO, JNJ, ABBV, AMGN, LLY, GILD, VRTX, PFE, BMYHealthcare 9
580.76MPC, PSX, XOM, CVX, DVN, OXY, COP, EOGEnergy 8
680.60NFLX, SPOT, DASH, V, MA, DIS, UBER, BKNGInternet/Media 5, Financials 2, Consumer Disc. 1
770.69ZS, PANW, CRWD, PLTR, SNOW, DDOG, NETSoftware 7
850.71MARA, RIOT, HOOD, MSTR, COINCrypto/High-beta 2, Financials 2, Software 1
940.62TTD, WDAY, ADBE, INTUInternet/Media 1, Software 3
1030.63HIMS, SOFI, AFRMHealthcare 1, Financials 1, Crypto/High-beta 1
1130.60RBLX, QCOM, INTCInternet/Media 1, Semis 2
1230.81VZ, T, TMUSTelecom 3
1330.81NEE, DUK, SOMaterials/Utilities 3
1430.58BRK-B, WMT, COSTFinancials 1, Consumer Staples 2
1520.84CEG, VSTMaterials/Utilities 2
1620.53TSLA, FCXConsumer Disc. 1, Materials/Utilities 1
1720.74RTX, LMTIndustrials 2
1820.79SLB, HALEnergy 2
1920.65CRM, TEAMSoftware 2
2020.67NOW, GOOGLSoftware 1, Internet/Media 1
2120.58MSFT, AMZNSoftware 1, Consumer Disc. 1
2220.60PINS, SNAPInternet/Media 2
2320.76MRK, MRNAHealthcare 2
2420.58UPS, UNPIndustrials 2
2520.56ABT, ISRGHealthcare 2
2620.69PM, MOConsumer Staples 2
2720.66GM, FConsumer Disc. 2
2820.52GE, HONIndustrials 2

24 names are singletons (no partner with average ρ ≥ 0.5) — they behave independently.

Most correlated pairs

V–MA 0.95WDC–STX 0.95HD–LOW 0.95COP–EOG 0.94AMAT–LRCX 0.94XOM–CVX 0.93LRCX–KLAC 0.93PANW–CRWD 0.92AMAT–KLAC 0.92MPC–PSX 0.92GS–MS 0.92TXN–ADI 0.91OXY–EOG 0.91COP–OXY 0.91KLAC–ASML 0.90XOM–COP 0.89MSTR–COIN 0.89OXY–DVN 0.89EOG–DVN 0.88CVX–COP 0.88LRCX–ASML 0.88AMAT–ASML 0.88DUK–SO 0.88COP–DVN 0.88GEV–ETN 0.87

Correlations are estimated from 60 observations and shift over time; a cross-sector cluster (e.g. semis + industrial AI-capex names) reflects a shared theme in this window. Screening/research, not investment advice.