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COF — Capital One

_Last updated 2026-10-23 13:00 ET from 2026-10-23 13:00 — payments & fintech. Screening/research, not investment advice._

Business

Card-heavy consumer bank (now including Discover's network).

Catalysts, guidance & news

  • Reported 2026-10-20 AMC (TRAI /api/events). Highest 60d ρ to AXP (0.73).
  • 2026-10-23: −1.70% at 13:07 ET with AXP (Yahoo 5m).

TRAI data (2026-10-23 8:53 AM ET premarket run; daily stats = Oct 22 session)

  • Sector (TRAI): Financials. Oct 22: -1.56%, relVol 1.39, ATR 2.48%, beta60 1.24, indicated gap -1.29% (TRAI /api/latest).
  • Next earnings: 2027-01-19 unknown (estimate), gap risk None (TRAI /api/events, asOf 2026-10-23).
  • Typical earnings reaction (last 4): avg |gap| 1.96% (0.68 ATR), max |gap| 4.80%, gap fill rate 50%, continuation 50%, avg day-1 move in gap direction -0.36% (TRAI /api/events).
  • Recent events: 2026-01-22 AMC: gap -4.80%, day-1 -2.90%, close-close -7.56%, EPS surprise -6.83%; 2026-04-21 AMC: gap +0.00%, day-1 -1.52%, close-close -1.52%, EPS surprise -3.34%; 2026-07-21 AMC: gap +0.64%, day-1 -2.97%, close-close -2.36%, EPS surprise 23.79%; 2026-10-20 AMC: gap +2.39%, day-1 +0.14%, close-close +2.53%, EPS surprise 21.58% (TRAI /api/events).
  • Correlation cluster 8 (avg ρ 0.582, 60d): KKR, BX, BA, BLK, AXP, COF (TRAI /api/correlations, asOf 2026-10-22).
  • Highest 60d correlations: AXP 0.73, BLK 0.67, BA 0.63, WFC 0.61, MS 0.61 (TRAI /api/correlations).

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