NVDA — NVIDIA

_Last updated 2026-10-30 09:00 ET from report. Screening/research, not investment advice._

Business

AI accelerators (GPUs), networking and systems for data centers; gaming/auto/pro-viz — NVIDIA IR.

Catalysts, guidance & news

• No company report this week. CEO Jensen Huang on CNBC (Oct 22): "there is a scarcity of capital" for AI infrastructure (Yahoo/Stocktwits, 2026-10-23); sees no memory glut by 2029 (NexuAlpha citing CNBC, 2026-10-23).
• −4.40% Oct 22; +0.51% premarket Oct 23 (TipRanks, 2026-10-23). Next earnings 2026-11-17 (TRAI).

TRAI data (2026-10-23 8:53 AM ET premarket run; daily stats = Oct 22 session)

• Sector (TRAI): Semis. Oct 22: -4.40%, relVol 1.21, ATR 2.90%, beta60 1.94, indicated gap -0.22%, signals: mean_reversion_fade_long (TRAI /api/latest).
• Next earnings: 2026-11-17 unknown, gap risk None (TRAI /api/events, asOf 2026-10-23).
• Typical earnings reaction (last 4): avg |gap| 3.14% (0.98 ATR), max |gap| 6.30%, gap fill rate 50%, continuation 75%, avg day-1 move in gap direction +0.14% (TRAI /api/events).
• Recent events: 2025-11-19 AMC: gap +5.06%, day-1 -7.81%, close-close -3.15%, EPS surprise 3.46%; 2026-02-25 AMC: gap -0.66%, day-1 -4.83%, close-close -5.46%, EPS surprise 5.32%; 2026-05-20 AMC: gap -0.53%, day-1 -1.25%, close-close -1.77%, EPS surprise 5.54%; 2026-08-26 AMC: gap +6.30%, day-1 +2.30%, close-close +8.74%, EPS surprise 6.16% (TRAI /api/events).
• Correlation cluster 1 (avg ρ 0.588, 60d): ON, MCHP, TXN, ADI, CAT, ANET, VRT, GEV, ETN, AVGO, MU, TSM, ASML, KLAC, AMAT, LRCX, MRVL, ARM, AMD, INTC, NVDA, ORCL, SMCI, DELL (TRAI /api/correlations, asOf 2026-10-22).
• Highest 60d correlations: TSM 0.67, VRT 0.61, SMCI 0.58, KLAC 0.57, AVGO 0.57 (TRAI /api/correlations).

2026-10-30 09:00 update

• Premarket −2.64% (09:17) — mild vs AMD −9.65% / ARM −10.0% on INTC's PC warning; AVGO −4.42%.

Report links

• 2026-10-23 09:00 — semis selloff
• 2026-10-30 09:00 — premarket rotation, INTC/crypto shocks, BMO prints

2026-10-30 17:00 update

• Listed as a mean_reversion fade-long in the official 4:21 PM postclose run, but does not qualify on final data (5:04 PM local re-run). The run used a stale Yahoo daily bar and/or partial-day relVol (report §2–3).