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TMO — Thermo Fisher Scientific

_Last updated 2026-10-23 12:00 ET from report. Screening/research, not investment advice._

Business

Life-science tools: analytical instruments, lab products and consumables, biopharma services (CRO/CDMO) (TMO IR).

Catalysts, guidance & news

  • Q3 Oct 21 BMO: revenue $12.14B (+9%, 6% organic), adj. EPS $6.68 (+15%), GAAP $4.64 (TMO IR, 2026-10-21). FY26 guide per transcript search summary (verify): revenue $47.7–48.2B, organic 4%, adj. EPS $25.13–25.43 (Motley Fool).
  • −2.52% Oct 22 (short_momentum); no Oct 22/23-specific catalyst found. Oct 23 12:05 ET: −1.45% (Yahoo 5m).

TRAI data (2026-10-23 8:53 AM ET premarket run; daily stats = Oct 22 session)

  • Sector (TRAI): Healthcare. Oct 22: -2.52%, relVol 1.52, ATR 3.51%, beta60 0.07, residualZ -1.56, indicated gap -0.36%, signals: short_momentum (TRAI /api/latest).
  • Next earnings: next = null in TRAI /api/events (asOf 2026-10-23); just reported, next print not yet loaded (S-008).
  • Typical earnings reaction (last 4): avg |gap| 5.98% (2.17 ATR), max |gap| 8.97%, gap fill rate 25%, continuation 25%, avg day-1 move in gap direction -1.11% (TRAI /api/events).
  • Recent events: 2026-01-29 BMO: gap -3.65%, day-1 +1.09%, close-close -2.61%, EPS surprise 1.87%; 2026-04-23 BMO: gap -8.04%, day-1 -1.26%, close-close -9.20%, EPS surprise 3.79%; 2026-07-23 BMO: gap +8.97%, day-1 -0.24%, close-close +8.71%, EPS surprise 5.55%; 2026-10-21 BMO: gap -3.25%, day-1 +4.36%, close-close +0.97%, EPS surprise 4.33% (TRAI /api/events).
  • Correlation cluster 49 (singleton, 60d): TMO (TRAI /api/correlations, asOf 2026-10-22).
  • Highest 60d correlations: VRTX 0.38, MRNA 0.36, NEM 0.35, LLY 0.32, RIVN 0.31 (TRAI /api/correlations).

Sector note

Report links

2026-11-06 10:00 update — MR fade-long under STRESS

  • On TRAI 8:58 AM ET premarket run as mean_reversion_fade_long under regime stress (VIX 26.92, VIX9D/VIX 1.213). Healthcare MR fade-long; Yahoo ~+1.7% early regular session.
  • LiveRules still mean R -0.052 / TARGET 0 — not validated edge (feeds S-144). Screening only.
  • Source: 2026-11-06 10:00 report.

2026-11-06 15:00 update — tools singleton bounce vs cluster-5 flat

  • Yahoo ~15:09: ~692.61 / ~+2.31% after Thu −4.14%. Still MR fade-long on 8:58 run; afternoon bounce descriptive only (10:00 window closed). Feeds S-144 / S-149.
  • Correlations asOf 11-05: cluster 48 singleton; TMO–AMGN 0.34, TMO–LLY 0.32, TMO–JNJ 0.14 — tools ≠ large-pharma factor.
  • Source: 2026-11-06 15:00 healthcare split.