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INTU: Intuit

_Last updated 2026-10-30 10:00 ET from report. Screening/research, not investment advice._

Business

TurboTax, Credit Karma, QuickBooks / Global Business Solutions, Mailchimp (Intuit Q4 FY26 release, 2026-08-25).

Catalysts, guidance & news

  • Sympathy peers (whiggity consult, TRAI ρ 60d): WDAY 0.67, CRM 0.51 (supported, cluster 6). ADSK is not in TRAI's universe (unverified; July 2026 joint rally per Yahoo/Stocktwits, 2026-08-03) (consult).
  • 2026-08-25 AMC, Q4 FY26 / FY27 guide: FY27 revenue $23.279–23.512B (+9–10%). Segments: GBS +13–14%, TurboTax +2–3%, Credit Karma +11–13%, Mailchimp −1%. Q1 FY27 revenue $4.294–4.313B, non-GAAP EPS $2.44–2.48 (Intuit release). Shares fell ~12% as TurboTax lost customers over price (Quartz, 2026-08-26). TRAI gap −9.51%.
  • 2026-09-17 Investor Day: guidance reaffirmed per Quiver, 2026-10-22 (secondary, unverified). Oct 15: Sequence acquisition (per Quiver). Oct 22: Intuit Ventures invests in Coast (Intuit blog).
  • 2026-10-22: +5.75% to $354.90 on the sector move, not company news (AlphaStreet, 2026-10-22). Mean-reversion fade-short candidate on Oct 23, in the same correlation cluster as long-momentum ADBE (ρ 0.79) (report §8).
  • Next earnings: Q1 FY27 date "will be announced at the end of the quarter" (Intuit IR calendar). TRAI estimate 2026-11-19.

TRAI data (2026-10-23 8:53 AM ET premarket run; daily stats = Oct 22 session)

  • Sector (TRAI): Software. Oct 22: +5.75%, relVol 1.37, ATR 3.50%, beta60 0.07, residual z 2.07, indicated gap -0.63%, signals: mean_reversion_fade_short (TRAI /api/latest).
  • Next earnings: 2026-11-19 unknown (estimated), gap risk None (TRAI /api/events, asOf 2026-10-23).
  • Typical earnings reaction (last 4): avg |gap| 8.92% (2.16 ATR), max |gap| 18.66%, gap fill rate 25%, continuation 25%, avg day-1 move in gap direction -3.14% (TRAI /api/events).
  • Recent events: 2025-11-20 AMC: gap +5.05%, day-1 -0.96%, close-close +4.03%, EPS surprise 7.99%; 2026-02-26 AMC: gap -2.47%, day-1 +6.33%, close-close +3.70%, EPS surprise 12.69%; 2026-05-20 AMC: gap -18.66%, day-1 -1.67%, close-close -20.02%, EPS surprise 1.84%; 2026-08-25 AMC: gap -9.51%, day-1 +6.93%, close-close -3.24%, EPS surprise 12.34% (TRAI /api/events).
  • Correlation cluster 6 (avg ρ 0.626, 60d): WDAY, ADBE, INTU, TEAM, CRM, NOW (TRAI /api/correlations, asOf 2026-10-22).
  • Highest 60d correlations: ADBE 0.79, WDAY 0.67, NOW 0.67, NKE 0.61, NFLX 0.60 (TRAI /api/correlations).

Report links

2026-10-30 10:00 update