RBLX: Roblox

_Last updated 2026-10-30 09:00 ET from report. Screening/research, not investment advice._

Business

User-generated gaming platform, monetized through Robux bookings. TRAI: Internet/Media, near-singleton. Top ρ: COIN 0.50, AAPL 0.49, RIVN 0.48.

Catalysts, guidance & news

• Q3 2026 (2026-10-29 AMC):
• Revenue $1.57B vs $1.46B; DAU 138M vs 145.77M expected; bookings $1.70B (−12%).
• Q4 guide: bookings $1.89–2.00B vs $2.01B; net loss $363–423M.
• Source: Investing.com, 2026-10-29.

TRAI data

• After hours ~17:02: −18.74%. Last 4 prints: avg |gap| 15.21%, fill 25%; the last two reaction days were −18.3% and −26.9%.

Linkages

• See Business line (TRAI /api/correlations 60d to 2026-10-22, stale).

2026-10-30 09:00 update

• Premarket −19% (Investing.com premarket movers, 2026-10-30).

Report links

• 2026-10-29 17:00 — postclose movers & Friday gap risk
• 2026-10-30 09:00 — premarket rotation, INTC/crypto shocks, BMO prints

2026-11-02 10:00 update

• Q3 detail:
• DAU 138M (−9%)
• engagement hours ~34B (−15% y/y)
• Q4 bookings guide $1.89–2.00B (−10 to −15% y/y) vs ~$2.01B
• adj. EBITDA loss $10–70M
• FCF −$105M to −$190M
• Targets: MS 50, UBS 50 (cites GTA VI), Roth 54, Wedbush 52; Freedom raised to 60 (Yahoo/Stocktwits, 2026-10-30).
• Cluster: 12 (QCOM, APP); APP ρ 0.59.
• Day 2 (11-02): +2.78% at ~10:15 ET, at the OR30 high, above VWAP. The prior two day-2s after ≥ −18% reactions were +5.90% and +3.06% o→c, then −3.9 and −2.6pp vs QQQ over days 2–5 (my calc). Next print ~Feb 2027 (date not announced).
• Report

2026-11-02 13:00 update

• Short bucket is suspended, so this is watch-list only. The morning bounce faded: +1.14% at 13:10 ET, at VWAP and inside OR30 (41.78–44.19), vs +2.78% at ~10:15. No new news. Same-sector print risk: SNAP Wed 11-04 AMC (ρ 0.56); APP Wed AMC (ρ 0.59).
• 2026-11-02 13:00 report